Saturday, 1 October 2016

Him, Flying the Red Flag

When Jeremy Corbyn first came to my attention in the throes of the Labour leadership campaign last year, his appearance caught me off-guard.  It wasn’t his intense socialism or demands for nationalistic responsibility – policies that I had thought were anathema to the modern Labour Party in the aftermath of Blair, Brown and Miliband – but rather just his sudden apparition on the stage.  

What caught me out with the man was how obscure he was, and yet how aligned we seemed to be.  Not necessarily on all policy, but certainly in most.  For years I had been telling disillusioned friends seeking revolution in the system that revolutionaries invariably make terrible political leaders and that change should come from within the establishment, something that they would dismiss idly as being fanciful considering how filled with cronies from Oxford, Cambridge and other poncy, privileged places the government was.  How could change be facilitated when guffawing gits controlled the system?

Vote for the people that are most inclined toward change, I would say.  And get involved.  Political apathy was such an annoyance to me that I conceived my final year project at university around that very issue, concerned that my cohorts were not just disillusioned but also blasé about being disillusioned.

Then Corbyn happened.  All of a sudden, it seemed as if there was a groundswell of support, and all of those uninterested people became the opposite overnight.  Suddenly the Islington MP had an army of young, loyal, leftist supporters ready to carry his banner.  They didn’t do it from the side-lines either, choosing to be casual observers whilst hoping the establishment Labour Party would hear them when they cast their ballots… they legitimately joined the bloody thing and cast their own votes.

For a long time I could not put my finger on what I found troubling about Jeremy Corbyn, until the media decided to tell me what it was I should find troubling, which is that he was unelectable.  I looked at him on the podium next to an astute Yvette Cooper and sincere Andy Burnham and in that moment I believed that this scruff would never be a credible Prime Minister.  It went beyond just his appearance.  I’ve always had an issue with career politicians, which is exactly what Corbyn is, regardless of his resistance to adhere to the sting of party whips.

But therein lay the problem.  It wasn’t his “unelectability” that made me concerned for his presence, but the fact that he was so often a rebel that I couldn’t work out why such a supposedly principled man continued to serve with the Labour Party.  Why wasn’t he an independent?  To be free of the shackles of the established system and represent his constituency only.  But then again, perhaps he wanted to continue to represent the worker, and in order to do that it seems you have to possess an in-road with the unions, which have usually always been tied to Labour.  The only problem with this is how he continued to stick with the party during Blairite rule.  The counter to this argument is that plenty of backbenchers stuck with Labour during Blair, and ultimately it was during this period that a chasm started to grow between the Parliamentary Labour Party (filled with Blairites) and the party base (filled with Bennites).

I don’t bemoan Corbyn playing the game, working the system… rather, I think he must.  I have also discarded my previous concerns that he lacks credibility – quite the reverse, I now believe he is the most steadfast candidate in the race to 2020.  We don’t know who will be on the Conservative ticket at the next general election, but based on the list of current contenders I’m not inspired.

Since last year, Jeremy Corbyn has shown himself to be an active and meaningfully different kind of party leader.  At his first PMQs as Leader of the Opposition he made it a democratic affair, inviting questions from the general public to be pitched to the Prime Minister.  Today, he has caved to peer pressure and started wearing a tie (though this begs concern for the future – what would happen if Theresa May displayed disgust at the lack of cravats in the House of Commons?) and put in several impressive performances both in and out of the chamber.  During this second leadership contest, I would not have been surprised if undecided voters went with the Londoner over the Welshman based solely on their debating styles.  Whilst Corbyn refused consistently to be drawn into personal attacks and kept on message, Owen Smith couldn’t help but finish every statement with the aside, “I agree with Jeremy on a lot of things, I just don’t think he is right for the leadership”, which is a pathetically meekish thing to say.  If you agree with most of your opponent’s policies but don’t think they’re right for the leadership, then you’re basically saying, “I agree with Jeremy, but I say it better”.

This is an incredibly arrogant position, assuming your level of charisma is so much higher.  As unfortunate as this may sound, it is true that charisma is so often predicated on your appearance and tone of voice, and Jeremy Corbyn has a wizened received pronunciation which will always trump falsetto Welsh in the ears of the majority of the population.  We’re going into personal attributes here which is wrong, but that is precisely what Smith’s campaign was essentially about.

As I already mentioned, I disagree with Jeremy on a few issues but it is not really the end goal upon which we diverge but the means.  I too would like to see a nuclear free world (at least in weaponised form), but he needs to have a viable alternative to mutually assured destruction to appease party moderates.  Is he going to look into more defensive options to ensure our security?  Sure, I recognise that the idea of launching nuclear missiles is frankly insane, but fundamentalist terrorist organisations actually are insane, and they're much harder to target from a submarine in the Indian Ocean.  

Following on from the above, our energy requirement is increasing incrementally year-on-year for obvious reasons and we need to be able to accommodate the growing demand.  Wind, solar and hydrodynamic sources maybe the preferred option, and are getting cheaper, but still do not beat nuclear on cost against efficiency.  For all those bleating about safety, remember that this is a technology first harnessed in the 1950s, at the same time we were first developing the modern computer.  If in the latter tech we started with levers and switches, and sixty years later are communicating instantaneously with people on the other side of the planet using touch-screen mobile devices, don’t you think our mastery of nuclear safety methods might have come a long way in that same period?  (Disclaimer: I’m not a fan of the Anglo-Franco-Sino deal currently being put into place at the moment).

The rail network needs to be better, but nationalisation is not the answer to everything – half of the problem is that the infrastructure itself (the tracks, signals, stations etc.) need to see more investment and attention.  Whilst I am not arguing that the train companies are to be absolved of blame, one of the reasons why they can’t add more coaches to over-packed trains is because the platforms of numerous stations on the network are too small.  For the millions of pounds being channelled into HS2 and Crossrail, relatively little is going to the maintenance and expansion of the current network.

Yet the policies on which we seem to universally agree are much more numerous.  We share a displeasure with the anachronistic method of criminalising drugs; I find it admirable that he has vocally supported the legalisation of prostitution to ensure the safety of sex workers, so many of whom have few other occupational choices – like addiction, it is difficult to escape from; whilst I don’t agree with him about the train companies, I certainly agree with his wish to see basic national utilities (energy, water etc.) renationalised; and we both oppose the reimplementation of grammar schools.  Whilst our arguments are different, we both recognise that membership of the European Union is a much more nuanced issue than the Brexit debacle gives it credit for.

So where do I stand with Corbyn?  Would I vote for him?  You might be wondering… did I vote for him?  Fortunately, I didn’t get swept up in the social justice hype that surrounded last year’s leadership contest and did not join the Labour Party.  I am not a member of the Labour Party.  I’m not a member of any party.  I am a subscriber to both Private Eye and The New Statesman; I get my news either from the BBC (because despite their biases, they are establishment based, and this in my opinion is better than being politically biased, which is what all other media organisations are) or the Associated Press; the only print media affiliation I felt comfortable with for a time was The Independent (for which I have felt somewhat vindicated since I started reading Private Eye); and in the last two general elections I voted for independent candidates.  I am not beholden to any political party, which gives me a wonderful sense of conscious freedom to vote either for or against Corbyn.

I still have my gripes, such as the half-hearted way he campaigned to remain in the EU and his handling of his core supporters.  Momentum members may say that this is media hype, but that group has been a rallying point for Corbynites who also fall into the social justice warrior category, another facet of modern society that unsettles me.  Corbyn’s unwillingness to admonish this activist group is concerning.  Activism is something that exists in the party political system, certainly, but the appearance of Momentum has created a nasty factional divide.  The fact the general public knows who they are is enough to know their influence, when they would struggle to name another Labour activist group or one within the Conservative ranks.  These gripes are real, but perhaps not enough to normally force me to turn on a candidate who I otherwise feel neither love or hate toward.

The problem still remains.  Whilst his credibility and public image has improved, Corbyn remains unelectable.  I know that people are going to hate me using that word, and have a perfectly good rebuke to it: he just got elected for the second time to leader of the Labour Party.

Yes… in the Labour Party.  Thousands of people voted for Jeremy Corbyn.  313,209 in fact.  But do you want to know what the electorate population of the United Kingdom is?

In 2015, it stood at 44,722,000.

This is also not taking into consideration the fact that Corbyn has been largely reliant on the youth vote to win his leadership campaigns, but that same demographic has been notoriously absent from national votes.  His electability is not based on whether or not he can appear Prime Ministerial, but whether he can realistically – statistically – win a general election in 2020.  By that point, he will be 71 going on 72.  He’ll have faced Prime Minister Theresa May (a seasoned and prickly opponent by all accounts) hundreds of times, and will have been judged on each of those appearances.  He’ll need to quash the dissent in his party, even if it means kicking out the Blairites.  If he wants to maintain his no-personal-attacks method of campaigning, he’ll need to learn how to do that effectively.

But more than this, he will need to address one of the biggest issues that the British public has about him: his stance on immigration.  This is for some people one of the biggest dilemmas facing Britain in the 21st Century, and formed the backbone of the Leave campaign during the EU Referendum.  Currently Corbyn’s position is frankly unacceptable to the majority of voters.

Even the Remain campaign during the EU Referendum didn’t make a pitch on the back of freedom of movement; rather, they couched their argument in legal immigration, and accepted the need to control the border.  It was only the hard left that really wanted us to embrace this mantra of the European Union fully, but the problem with such high-minded rhetoric is it ignores the plain truth that migration will weigh towards the richer areas, because with economic wealth comes greater employment.  Plus, the UK has been subject for decades of a narrative that tells the world we are a rich nation, and barring easy land access to the USA, we should be a final destination for many migrants seeking success.  We can be proud of that, but not stupid – this country needs billions of pounds of greater investment in order to accommodate the increase in demand on our infrastructure, but to do so would plunge us into even greater debt controlled either by other nations or banks.

This puts me in the firing line for being called “right-wing”, but this presumes that the majority of the population of Britain are also either overt or covert right-wingers, in which case, it just further highlights the low chances Corbyn has of becoming our next Prime Minister.  Conservative or UKIP, it doesn’t really matter, because they only have each other to contend with on the right, whilst Labour has the cavalcade of Greens, Scot Nationalists, Lib Dems and Plaid Cymru on the left.  The splintering of the socialist side of the political spectrum is what gave David Cameron absolute control of Parliament in 2015.

Nevertheless I hope that – barring the appearance of a centrist liberal in one of the major parties who even greater represents my views – the Labour Party win in 2020 and Jeremy Corbyn becomes Prime Minister.  It will certainly shut up the moderate Labour members who screamed “unelectable” but held up an odd, barely-known, un-charming narcissist as an alternative.

But with four years to go, there is still a lot to be done, not just to serve as a feasible opponent of government, but also to clean up the Labour house and reconsider the policy.  Out of all things, he must change his position on immigration, but make sure that it is done in the style of a long, drawn out thought process in which he is publicly shown to be persuaded to the idea of either returning to migration rules which existed pre-1973 or implement new policies about restricting the border.  Considering this was a man who voted forty-three years ago against joining the EEC, I’m sure with a bit of theatricality this can be achieved.

He also needs to deal with the New Labour members in his midst, which is an even greater challenge.  Booting them out to form their own party will only hurt Corbyn-Labour’s share of the vote further, whilst keeping them in will raise questions about his leadership style.  Adding to this, the existence of Momentum is damaging his reputation both in and out of the party, so they need to be told to either disband or tone it down.

Yet, the mere fact that I hold conflicting views about Jeremy Corbyn is telling.  With all other party leaders I have really known in my lifetime, I have so often concluded that their failings outweigh their potential.  Yet with Jeremy Corbyn, I haven’t reached that same conclusion.  On the whole, his values fall fairly in line with my own with a couple of notable exceptions.

It comes down to what you find amenable about a candidate.  When Labour first ran in 1997, I’m sure numerous liberal economists voiced concern for their support of PFI schemes, yet 13 million people still voted for them.  When David Cameron sought to get the Tories back into office in 2010, I’m sure plenty of Conservatives were slightly turned off by his Europhilia, but 10 million of them voted for his party anyway.  The question becomes, for his two policy foibles – immigration and Trident renewal, which are both founded in moral reasoning – are we willing to ignore him entirely when the alternative may be an isolationist, privatising, austerity-inducing Conservative candidate?

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